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FINANCIAL OVERVIEW - GENERAL FUND The 2004-05 Proposed Budget for the City of Monterey presented here is balanced, and fully implements the $4.9 million Budget Reduction Plan adopted by Council last year. However, as I will describe in this report, this budget is only "barely" balanced and our projections for the out-years show that a new structural imbalance may develop. Budget Reduction Plan Status Implementation of this Budget Reduction Plan has not been easy to do, but about two-thirds of the plan has been implemented in FY 2003-04. Since one-third of the Plan will take effect in the upcoming fiscal year, in many cases the full impact of the cuts has not yet been felt. For example, some of the additional service reductions that will be implemented in FY 2004-05 as part of the Budget Reduction Plan include: closing Archer Park Community Center; closing the other remaining community centers on Saturdays; eliminating specified recreation programs (e.g. the Easter Egg Hunt, La Posada, the holiday display at Madison & Pacific, and Dennis the Menace Park staff coverage); further reductions in Library hours; reductions in the Library materials budget for books and other resources; and reduced maintenance of streets, parks, trees and other city facilities. While staff has worked hard to minimize the impacts on services provided to the citizens of Monterey while cutting costs to balance the budget in FY 2004-05, every city department is having to reduce the level of service it provides. |
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FY 2004-05 General Fund "just barely"
balanced Even though the Budget Reduction Plan will be fully implemented in FY 2004-05, and the General Fund budget will, therefore, be in balance, it is important to note that this balanced state is a very precarious one. In particular, maintenance budgets have been only minimally funded and spending for small equipment and projects have been cut back substantially. Budgets for operating supplies and services have not been adjusted for inflation for three years now, or have been cut back. In addition, up to three potential layoffs of full-time and regular part-time employees are still scheduled for December 31, 2004 under the Budget Reduction Plan, depending on attrition and potential transfers. Given the "just barely balanced" nature of the FY 2004-05 General Fund budget, staff believes strongly that this is not the time to add back programs lost to the Budget Reduction Plan without a clear funding source. Nor is it the time to start new programs unless there are identified new revenues, expenditure savings, or long-term efficiencies that result from the program. Much of the reason for this strong recommendation is that we are not out of the woods yet. Though FY 2004-05 is precariously balanced, FY 2005-06 creates a new challenge. Projected FY 2005-06 General Fund Structural Imbalance of
$2 million Staff is also concerned that the imbalance noted above would be even worse than $2 million if the funding target for the maintenance and replacement of City facilities and infrastructure were what it should be. Funding for the maintenance of buildings, streets, trees and parks projects for example have been cut back significantly in order to balance the budget. In time this will take its toll and potentially create larger costs down the road. Funding also does not currently exist for the replacement, or major repair, of City facilities. High use buildings such as the Sports Center, Library, and Conference Center continue to age and wear out. There is currently no funding mechanism to pay for major repairs of these facilities. Some funding is available for CIP projects from the loan repayment the Redevelopment Agency makes to the General Fund each year. But this funding stream is not sufficient to fund more than just the "must do" items in any particular year. In the long run, we must increase our investment in the maintenance of our existing facilities. The State take-aways discussed below are dollars that would be used for maintenance if they were available to us. Staff will continue to monitor revenue and expenditure trends. It is likely, however, that very soon consideration will again have to be given to how to address this structural imbalance in the FY 2005-06 budget. Additional service cuts, through position elimination, or new revenues to expand the revenue base may have to be considered. The Cannery Row Hotel and Ocean View Plaza projects would provide a substantial expansion of our revenue base, but they are not expected to be completed in the near future. If the tax base does not grow through economic development, the Council may have to consider fee increases or going to the voters with various available tax measures, if we are to avoid significant further service cuts. State Take-aways This $1.2 million take-away for each of the next two years
is a bitter pill to swallow. But given the State's history of solving its
budget problems on the backs of cities, counties, redevelopment agencies and
special districts over the past dozen years or so, the proposed agreement
may be for the best in the long-run. In the proposed budget for FY 2004-05,
this $1.2 million loss has not been folded into the General Fund operating
budget since it is not an ongoing obligation. This take-away does however
diminish our ability to fund some of the crucial facilities and
infrastructure maintenance and replacement needs mentioned earlier. |
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General Fund revenues in 2004-05, estimated to be $44.1 million, would be up 5.7% or $2.4 million over the current year's revised estimates. For all funds, operating revenues are estimated to be $74.8 million, up 6.2% from the prior year. As indicated above, these figures do not reflect the $1.2 million State take-away which is being budgeted as a "one-time" non-operating expenditure. After two consecutive years of declines in Transient Occupancy Tax revenues (TOT), it appears we may have finally hit bottom. In the current fiscal year so far, TOT is up 2% over the same period last year. While this is good news it is still short of the 2.7% growth rate anticipated for FY 2003-04 (see chart below). However, we still hope to end the year on a stronger note as a result of a somewhat better economy and the recent opening of the shark exhibit at the Monterey Bay Aquarium. Transient Occupancy Tax, though still less than it was just a few years ago, is still the City's largest revenue source. It makes up 25% of the General Fund estimated revenue total for next year. TOT was 31% of General Fund revenues just a few years ago. As shown in the following table (which includes both General Fund and Neighborhood Improvement Program portions of TOT), FY 2000-01 was the last year of strong TOT growth before tourism dropped off. TOT is projected to increase 4% next year. TOT Growth
Another significant revenue is sales tax which is estimated to be $6.9 million in 2004-05, making it the second largest General Fund operating revenue source (16% of projected revenues). This figure includes both the sales tax revenues and the new "Property tax in-lieu of Sales tax" revenue source created by the recent passage of Proposition 57. This ballot measure approved the reduction of the City's sales tax by one-quarter. This revenue reduction, totaling $1.3 million, will be replaced with a like amount of property tax revenues (this complicated State scheme has been referred to as the "triple-flip"). This sales tax estimate represents a 7% increase from the revised projection for the current year. This estimate is based on a combination of an expected underlying growth rate of about 3% plus the growth in the sales tax base from some specific projects underway such as the new theater at Del Monte Center and the soon-coming Infinity dealer. This projected growth is a welcome change after ten consecutive quarters of sales tax declines. Like TOT however, we are still not back to the level of sales tax revenues seen in FY 2000-01. Sales Tax Growth
Property tax receipts continue to come in strong because growth in property values increases the property tax rolls whenever real estate is sold. After a good 6.8% increase in 2002-03, based on receipts so far we anticipate property tax receipts will be $4.4 million in 2003-04 which is 7.4% higher than last year. Property taxes are projected to increase another 7.9% next year to $4.8 million. Unfortunately, and contrary to popular belief, property taxes are not as big a part of General Fund revenue picture as they once were. This tax generates about 13% of all General Fund revenues. However, some of the recent changes and proposals for how to finance local government may change that. For example, changes have been proposed related to local funding from the motor-vehicle license fee discussed next. The motor-vehicle license fee (VLF) is one General Fund revenue source that has been the subject of much discussion over the last year or two. As you know, cities receive a portion of the VLF paid by vehicle owners each year and the State passed legislation a few years back that lowered the rate by 67.5%. A reduction of this size would amount to approximately $1.1 million to Monterey's General Fund. For several years the State, as promised, was able to "back-fill" the VLF to cities that would have otherwise been lost due to the rate reduction. However, last year former Governor Davis raised the VLF rate back to its original amount because the State could no longer afford to fund the back-fill. When Governor Swartzenegger was elected he lowered the rate back down which created a new funding issue. In May 2004, as part of an agreement worked out between the League of California Cities and the Governor, the VLF rate would be permanently lowered from 2% to 0.65%. However, cities will receive an additional allocation of property tax to make up for the loss of VLF. As mentioned earlier in this report, this plan still has to be approved by the State legislature and the voters, but the League feels this is an opportunity to establish some long-term revenue stability even though it will be fiscally painful in the short-term. Therefore, our VLF revenue estimate for 2004-05 includes the equivalent of the full amount of $1.8 million in operating revenues. This amount is, however, now split between the usual VLF revenue account and a new "Property tax in-lieu of VLF" account. The reduction proposed by the Governor of $721,000 is shown in the budget as a "non-operating" amount since it is not expected to be on-going. This amount is part of the $1.2 million State take-away mentioned earlier. The other part is approximately $517,000 that is being taken from the Redevelopment Agency which ultimately also impacts the General Fund. In the FY 2003-04 budget, Council authorized a draw of $1.5 million from the Reserve for Economic Uncertainty to balance the budget. This draw, along with the phased implementation of the Budget Reduction Plan also approved by Council, has kept the current year's budget in balance. After the draw of $1.5 million, the Reserve for Economic Uncertainty will be about $4.7 million. This is equivalent to 10.8% of the proposed General Fund operating expenditures less estimated budget savings (the target reserve is 15%). The proposed budget for 2004-05 does not recommend drawing down this Reserve any further at this point since the full implementation of the Budget Reduction Plan helped bring next year's budget into balance. We may have to revisit the use of this Reserve in the future, however, as one tool to consider in the closing of the structural imbalance projected for FY 2005-06. A long-term financial goal should be to reestablish this reserve to a full 15% of the operating budget. The Reserve for Art Acquisitions will again not receive an allocation of $30,000 next year from the General Fund in accordance with the Budget Reduction Plan. There is currently $70,000 remaining in this reserve. The Artifacts Acquisition reserve has a balance of almost $49,000. Other General Fund reserves exist for budgetary or accounting purposes such as the Reserve for Continuing CIP (approved projects not yet complete, $2 million); Reserve for Amounts Due from Other Funds ($1.4 million); Reserves for Encumbrances and Long-term receivables (required by accounting principles, $652,000 and $927,000 respectively). Overall for 2004-05, proposed General Fund operating expenditures amount to $45.9 million. This represents an increase of 0.3% from the 2003-04 amended budget and a 2.9% increase over the original 2003-04 budget. The total proposed 2004-05 operating expenditures for all funds amount to $74.8 million which represents an increase of 2.3% from the 2003-04 amended budget and a 5.2% increase from the original 2003-04 budget. Though the budget shows a modest increase due to rising employee costs, phased in implementation of the Budget Reduction Plan has resulted in total employee staffing decreasing significantly as shown in the following chart (total staffing shown is full-time equivalent positions). Reductions in Total City Staffing
CITY COUNCIL BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS The following discussion highlights some of the more significant programs and budget issues that are included in the proposed budget for 2004-05. Window on the Bay Public Service Center City Infrastructure There remains, however, a substantial backlog of unfunded projects in streets, storm drains and buildings. Staff believes the funding levels proposed for maintenance of infrastructure and facilities are too low. And, as mentioned earlier, the State take-away of $1.2 million in FY 2004-05 ends up directly impacting the City's ability to adequately maintain its streets, storm drains and sewers. New Public Works Positions
needed to Implement Storm Water Requirements These positions will be fully funded by new storm water revenues received from the privatization of La Mesa housing, an adjustment to the Navy contract for sewer fees, the downgrading of the Operations Engineer position and the Presidio contract. No additional General Fund dollars are needed for this additional staffing, which is necessary to implement this year’s new obligations under the unfunded Federally mandated Clean Water Act. Downgrading the Division Chief position in the Maintenance Division from Operations Engineer to Streets and Utilities Manager will complete the reorganization of that Division, which started almost two years ago with the separation of Facilities Maintenance and Mechanical Services from that Division. The new Division Chief position will oversee the remaining operations in Streets, Sewer and Storm Drain Maintenance. Cannery Row Hotel MCCVB Advertising Colton Hall Museum Library Bookmobile July 4th Celebration The Recreation Department has been asked to take another look at their operations and programs and provide some alternatives that would allow for staffing of the coordination of the July 4th activities by reducing other recreation program net costs to pay for this staffing. Another alternative is of course the elimination of all or part of the July 4th celebration. These alternatives are presented in a separate staff report from the Recreation Department as part of this July 6, 2004 budget hearing. Expand Hilltop Pre-school Program Volunteer Program Monterey Center for
Children This request is also being considered a "one-time" funding request. If the financial condition of the Center or the City does not improve in the near future, the City may have to consider funding alternatives other than the General Fund for the maintenance and custodial expenditures the Center may not be able to pay. Whether this can be done, especially considering that the maintenance of other City facilities has been significantly cut back, remains to be seen. Other Position Changes Part of those changes involves restructuring the responsibilities of some positions. The proposed FY 2004-05 budget includes some relatively minor position changes to reflect changes in responsibilities. These include upgrading a Police Services Technician position to Senior Police Services Technician, a Custodian to Senior Custodian, and an Associate Planner to Senior Associate Planner. It also includes converting a temporary part-time Communications Assistant position to regular part-time in conjunction with reducing the Community Education and Outreach Coordinator position from full-time to a ¾-time management contract position. FINANCIAL OVERVIEW – OTHER FUNDS The City maintains a number of funds other than the General Fund to account for the revenues and expenditures of activities that are separate from the General Fund for either legal or accounting purposes. A brief overview of the 2004-05 budget picture for some of the more significant of these funds follows. Presidio Public Works Authority
Fund Storm Water Utility Fund Furthermore, despite the fact that the Storm Water Utility Fund now receives almost $1 million in user fees annually, the General Fund still had to subsidize the capital program by $400,000 in 2001-02, $550,000 in 2002-03, $285,000 in 2003-04 and now $80,000 is in the proposed CIP budget for 2004-05 for Church Street drainage repairs. In addition, the Neighborhood Improvement Program has funded several important storm drainage projects over the last few years. The overall Storm Water Utility program is significantly underfunded in light of Federal mandates we will be required to meet in the future. Sewer Line Maintenance Fund area. These factors include, 1) inability of Storm Water Utility Fund to make a debt service payment this year (last year it was $100,000); 2) proposed purchase of camera equipment to monitor sewer lines ($112,000); 3) shifting of costs to this fund per Budget Reduction Plan; 4) increased risk management charges. We will need to reevaluate the fee for this utility. Cemetery Fund Marina Fund Parking Fund Housing Fund Capital Improvement and Neighborhood Improvement Program
Budgets It should be noted that this CIP proposal recommends a departure from existing Council policy in two instances. Firstly, in the past 25% of gas tax funding has been set aside for the acquisition of Window on the Bay properties. However, given the significant underfunding of street maintenance, staff recommends that all gas tax funding be allocated to street resurfacing projects. Secondly, normally all Tidelands revenues are also set aside for the acquisition of Window on the Bay properties. Again, due to the overall lack of funding for infrastructure projects, staff recommends departure from this policy in order to allocate some Tidelands funding to sewer, storm and fire sprinkler projects. A fuller discussion of the entire 2004-05 CIP and NIP programs are provided in separate reports to Council elsewhere on this agenda. LONG-TERM GENERAL FUND FORECAST The FY 2004-05 budget is precariously balanced, as I stated earlier in this report, but the fiscal picture beyond next year is of even greater concern. Our early projections show a $2 million General Fund operating imbalance starting in FY 2005-06 that will have to be dealt with by next June. And, unfortunately, these projections assume a lower level of funding for the maintenance and replacement of city facilities and infrastructure than we should be providing. The reasons for this out-year imbalance are multi-faceted and are related to the various "financial pressure points" that challenge the City of Monterey (and most other cities for that matter). The major areas putting pressure on the budget continue to be:
Though major revenue sources seem to have hit bottom, we are still not back to 2000/2001 levels. In addition, the uncertainty of how the State will ultimately chose to balance its own FY 2004-05 budget continues to be a major unknown in our own fiscal planning. The Governor is pushing for a budget that includes one-time (actually two-time) cuts to cities that have been agreed to by the League of California Cities in exchange for the potential of much greater financial stability down the road.
As has been discussed throughout this report, I am growing more concerned that we are not adequately maintaining our infrastructure and facilities.
PERS retirement costs are still increasing. Recent portfolio gains at PERS may help in the long-run, but given the rate smoothing techniques used by PERS it will take time for the effects of better investment returns to be felt in the rates cities pay. Health care costs also continue to rise at double-digit rates annually.
Implementation of long-term, strategic facility and open space priorities continues as opportunity and funding are available. The solution to this projected $2 million FY 2005-06 imbalance can take the form of 1) more expenditure (program) reductions, 2) increased fees or taxes, 3) increased tax base, or 4) some combination of these methods. Taking a longer-term look, projects like the hotel on Cannery Row and the Ocean View Plaza project would greatly increase the City's tax base, thereby helping to close the budget gap in the out-years without raising taxes or cutting more programs. However, at this point revenues from these projects have not been factored into our nearer term projections through FY 2005-06. At the June 1 Council meeting, there was a request that staff include a list of other potential revenue sources in this budget report. The potential revenues that staff has identified are as follows:
In reviewing this list, I believe it would be prudent to first carefully consider the impact on services and on the City organization if we plan to continue to live within our currently available revenues before we proceed with further review of any tax increases that require a public vote. Proposition 218 requires that tax increases be on the ballot when Councilmembers are elected (e.g. November 2004 or November 2006 - unless there is a financial emergency in which case a different election date could be used). Also, tax increases typically require a 2/3 vote to be approved if the new revenue is for a specific purpose (50% for a general purpose). If Council wants to immediately pursue any new revenue sources, please provide direction to staff. It is highly probable that without new revenues we may have to once again use the Reserve for Economic Uncertainty and/or identify and implement additional service reductions with further position reductions. Given the budget imbalance projected for FY 2005-06 and the financial pressure points reviewed above, staff believes that this is not the time to add back programs that were reduced or eliminated in the Budget Reduction Plan unless a clear funding source can be provided. Similarly, it is not the time to be adding new programs or services unless there are new revenues, expenditure savings, or long-term efficiencies that result. Instead, we need to focus on how to maintain the level of reductions provided in the Budget Reduction Plan and how to start addressing the projected $2 million structural imbalance in FY 2005-06. We also need to develop a long term strategy for more appropriate levels of investment in the maintenance and replacement of our facilities and infrastructure. Fred Meurer CITY OF MONTEREY Return
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